Options Strategy & Analysis (Fresh)
ETHUSD – November 24, 2025
📊 Chart Analysis
Bias: Bearish
EMA/Trend: Below 200 EMA (Downtrend)
Support/Resistance: Support @ 2,700 | Resistance @ 2,900
Stoch RSI: Oversold Zone
🖼️ 15 Min Chart
Strong bearish momentum, repeated rejection at 2,850–2,860 zone.
📈 Option Chain Analysis
Expiry Date: November 28, 2025
Highest Put OI: 2,800 (243k)
Highest Call OI: 2,900 (208k)
IV Skew: Bearish
🎯 Selected Hedged Strategy
Strategy: Bear Call Spread
Strikes: Sell 2,850 CE | Buy 2,900 CE
Rationale: High-probability credit play in bearish market with defined risk
💰 Pre-Trade Metrics
Net Credit per lot: ≈ $42.76
Lot Size (Delta Exchange): 0.01 ETH per lot
Value per lot: $42.76 × 0.01 = $0.4276
For 100 Lots:
Total Net Credit: $42.76 (≈ ₹3,634)
Max Profit: ₹3,634
Max Loss: (50$ width - 42.76$) × 0.01 × 100 × 85 = ₹3,621
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1 : 1.00 (Almost 1:1)
Probability of Profit (POP): ~68%
📌 Trade Note
Entry Trigger: Price rejects 2,850–2,860 on 15m/1h close
Exit Plan: 50–70% profit target or stop if ETH > 2,900
🔗 Recommended Platform
⚠️ Disclaimer
Crypto derivatives are highly risky. This is educational content only, not financial advice. Trade only with risk capital.
