Options Strategy & Analysis (Fresh)
Ethereum / USD – November 13, 2025
📊 Chart Analysis
Bias: Bullish
EMA/Trend: Price above 20/50/100 EMA, below 200 EMA (Short-term uptrend)
Support/Resistance: Support @ 3,480 | Resistance @ 3,600
Stoch RSI: Neutral Zone (15m: 30.98, 1h: 54.87, 4h: 56.21)
🖼️ 15 Min Chart
Short-term pullback visible with potential bounce from EMA20.
📈 Option Chain Analysis
Expiry Date: November 21, 2025
Highest Put OI: 3,500 (Strong Support)
Highest Call OI: 3,600 (Strong Resistance)
IV Skew: Slightly Bullish Skew
Greeks Insight (Delta/Theta): Delta ~0.5, Theta positive (Favorable for credit spreads)
📰 News & Global Market Analysis
Key News Factor: Fusaka upgrade in November 2025 expected to boost network capacity; ETH exchange supplies declining 18%, signaling accumulation.
Global Market Sentiment: Mixed to Bullish (Institutional inflows strong, Fear & Greed at 29 - Fear but improving)
FII/DII Data: Institutional Net Buyers (ETFs inflows >$13B, Whales accumulating)
🎯 Selected Hedged Strategy
Strategy: Bull Put Spread
Strikes: Sell 3,500 PE, Buy 3,450 PE
Rationale: Capitalize on short-term bullish bias and theta decay amid accumulation trends.
💰 Pre-Trade Metrics
Entry Premiums (Net Credit): + $12.48
Max Profit: ₹1,060
Max Loss: ₹4,240
Risk/Reward: 1:0.25
Prob. of Profit (POP): 70%
Lot Basis: 1 Lot (0.01 ETH)
Risk Level:
📌 Trade Note
Entry Trigger: Enter when price holds above 3,520 on 15m pullback to EMA20.
Exit Plan: Exit at 50% profit or if price breaks below 3,480.
